The first game between these two teams in Week 2 was a defensive brawl that saw the Titans eke out their first win of the season 20-17. There’s little reason to expect anything different in this one as Tennessee is giving up just 18.9 points per game (2nd best in NFL) while Houston is giving up just 20.5 points per game (6th best in NFL).
The wild card for this one will be quarterback Marcus Mariota, who left last game with a nerve injury in his shoulder and is highly questionable for this week’s game. Blaine Gabbert came on in relief against the Colts, completing 11 of 16 passes for 118 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception.
Titans +5.5 (-106)
Texans -5.5 (-114)
Over +100/Under -120
Marcus Mariota on his injury: pic.twitter.com/kPm0deAoUQ— Erik Bacharach (@ErikBacharach) November 21, 2018
Under 41.5: Regardless of who starts at quarterback, this one figures to be a low-scoring affair between two very good defensive teams. Over the Texans’ last six games, just two have seen more than 40 total points scored. The Titans showed some offensive prowess against the Cowboys and Patriots but are averaging just 17.8 points per game (5th worst in NFL). The Texans are averaging a middling 23.9 points per game.
Texans -5.5: This is highly dependent on Mariota’s health. If Mariota starts, the Titans can likely keep it close enough to beat the spread, though it’s unclear how limited he may be even if he does play. The Texans are clearly a significant favorite after winning seven straight games after starting the season 0-3.