NCAA: Week 6

The line was so close on that Michigan/MSU game from last week, right up until the point where it managed to go to overtime, and the odds slid toward the home team, who managed to capitalize to the tune of a 6-point victory. At least Penn State lived up to their well-earned ranking and covered with ease on the road at Illinois. This maintaining my slim above-.500 record at 6-5. Pressing on to week 6 has us staring at a tasty matchup in the Big 12, as well as another monster game in the SEC.

No. 21 Nebraska takes on No. 24 Missouri in Columbia, and comes in as a 3-point favorite on the road. We should be in for quite a treat with this one, as both teams will be fresh coming off a bye week as they roll into conference play – in one of the toughest conferences in all of NCAA for the second year in a row. Both teams have scored about 150 points so far, but Mizzou has given up more than double that of Nebraska, pointing to defense as a key area to watch when planning to bet on this game. For Mizzou, Blaine Gabbert is quickly making fans forget who Chase Daniel was, but he’ll probably struggle up against Nebraska’s No. 1 ranked defense. Here’s the kicker, though. The Tigers are almost lights out at home, winning 23 of 27 games at Farout Field, including three straight vs. the Cornhuskers. But this is a vastly improved Nebraska team, and I’d bet them to cover the spread. However, I’m going to take a chance and say Mizzou gets to the defense more than a couple times, and thus it’s also worth looking at the over if the oddsmakers believe the Nebraska D hype a little too much. By the way, make your bets quick…this one’s played on Thursday, not Saturday, this week.

The other huge matchup outside of the Big 12 this week is when Florida visits LSU. No 1 vs. No. 4. Can Florida conquer its first big test of the year? Is Tebow going to play? Florida’s favored by 7.5 right now, and it’s such a tough call because you just don’t know what to expect from Tim Tebow, even if he does play. Here’s my prediction, though. Tebow’s back (not that he was out, really) and he doesn’t miss a step. Florida asserts themselves as the best team in the nation once again, and wins handsomely against LSU. So, yeah, they’ll cover in this incredible SEC conference matchup. Jordan Jefferson only has 7 TD passes through 5 games for LSU (and 2 picks), and the rushing game has only added 5 TDs to that total. So the defense is getting the job done, but they haven’t played anybody outside Georgia, whom they only beat by a touchdown. I’m not convinced they’re worth that No. 4 rankings just yet, and if Oklahoma hadn’t lost Bradford, LSU wouldn’t be up there.