NCAA: Week 11

How about that, Bama just covers the spread, as I predicted, behind just enough offense and just enough defense to keep the talented LSU Tigers at bay. Can’t blame the Tigers for the loss against the team many consider to be the best in the nation. Unfortunately for me, Purdue decided to wear their Harvey Dent face this week, and took it to Michigan enough to pull off the upset on the road, cementing another .500 week for me but keeping my overall record well above, at about 13-9. Let’s peek at a couple big matchups for the week ahead.

Missouri, a team that’s been reeling and sits at an unimpressive 5-4, is a 1-point underdog at Kansas State, a ranked team. Go figure. The Tigers defense is a mess, and has little confidence left after it was shattered by Nebraska earlier this season. I wouldn’t exactly call K-State among the elite of the Big 12, but they’re certainly better – at home – than the line. Bet Kansas State.

My favorite matchup of the week is Iowa at Ohio State. Iowa was deflated last week, and many are seeing the hype die with the loss. Now at No. 10, they go into OSU’s house for a bruising battle, one they won’t win. But what about the sizable 17-point line in favor of the Buckeyes? It’s a tough call there…I’ll spot the Buckeyes 2 touchdowns, but anything more than that, even at home, is a stretch. So bet cautiously, but don’t count on OSU covering.

And how about Nebraska (still hanging around) at Kansas (not so much). 3.5-point favorite toward the Jayhawks, but I think they’ll blow it. Yeah, Lawrence is always a supportive and loud scene, but the Jayhawks have been one of the big disappointments in NCAA this year, which seems to follow a mini-theme among the Big 12. Nebraska is 6-3 (3-2), and just held Oklahoma to 3 points. Yeah…so Bradford or no, Kansas isn’t going to ride the home-crowd emotion to a miraculous win here. Bet Nebraska in an “upset.”