NCAA: Week 10

Well, Wisconsin and Florida covered last week, no big surprises there. Man, what happened to KU? You take a chance on an up-and-coming (or so I thought) program and they really find a way to tank it. You can bet the Jayhawks are all focused on basketball these days. And look at that, Notre Dame finally decided a game by more than 7 points. What’s on tap for this week…post-Halloween but not quite Thanksgiving tailgate time yet.

Purdue at Michigan. Somehow the Boilermakers continue to perplex us. How did they topple OSU? Was it just one of those weeks? Purdue has look like anything but a giant-slayer since then. In fact, I’m shocked they’re only a 5-point dog on the road after getting crushed by Wisconsin 37-0. This is a team that’s 3-6, and aside from OSU and the Illini, their only other win was against Toledo at home. Their defense is atrocious, and I expect 5-4 Michigan to exploit that as best they can. Michigan has as many TD’s on the ground as they do in the air…although neither number is impressive. So they’re less balanced than they are…subdued. It’s a tough call, they were destroyed by Illinois this past week, a team Purdue handled. In a game like this, you have to go with your gut, and mine is telling me to bet the home team. And I feel like, despite the defensive issues, the over will be set too high, and I’d bet the under here.

No 9. LSU is a 9-point underdog as they travel to play No. 3 Alabama. Many still feel Alabama is deserving of the #1 spot over both Florida and Texas. Man, that’ll be a crowded, heated battle for the title game in none of those three powerhouses lose leading up to it. And this is probably the last chance anyone formidable has of knocking Alabama off during the regular season. Can LSU stop Bama’s tough run game? QB McElroy only has 1450 yards passing, so if the Tigers can stop the run (a big if) they at least have a chance to cover the spread. Again, though, you can’t say enough about home field advantage, and I think that’ll be just enough to give Alabama a 12-15 point victory and cover the spread.